ASP Colloquium

For several decades, the ASP has hosted at least one 2-week colloquium every summer on an emerging science topic of interest to the NCAR community. The colloquia are designed for graduate students in new or rapidly developing areas of research for which good course materials may not yet be available. In recent years, the colloquia have had both a lecture component and a hands-on tutorial component. NCAR Scientific staff members in partnership with one or more university collaborators write proposals for colloquia topics, and in the event that their proposal is selected, organize the colloquium curriculum with logistical support provided by the ASP.  All ASP Colloquia include career development activities aimed at graduate students working toward the next step in their career.

In 2019, the summer colloquium was titled "Quantifying and Communicating Uncertainty in High-Impact Weather Prediction" and was held July 15-26, 2019.  The chair of the organizing committee was Glen Romine (NCAR) and the organizing committee members included Lance Bosart (SUNY - Albany), Julie Demuth (NCAR), Rebecca Morss (NCAR), Russ Schumacher (Colorado State University), Chris Snyder (NCAR), and Valerie Sloan (NCAR).  

Severe convective weather events produce life and property losses that could be mitigated by improved hazard predictions. Yet, forecasts are constrained by atmospheric predictability and our ability to accurately simulate the true atmosphere. Further, to fully utilize our current prediction capability we must address rapidly growing data volume issues and current deficiencies in our ability to effectively communicate threat information. Moreover, interdisciplinary approaches crossing atmospheric, data, and risk communication science are necessary to advance our high-impact hazard prediction capabilities. Toward this goal, this colloquium assembled students into interdisciplinary teams to create comprehensive uncertainty assessments that evolve in space and time as an event horizon for high-impact weather events. These assessments examined atmospheric predictability leveraging state-of-the-art forecast tools and methods in combination with factors that influence risk assessment and decision-making across a spectrum of potentially impacted communities. Each team, guided by experts in weather prediction, data science, and risk communication developed their assessments, presented their results at the conclusion of the colloquium.

This colloquium included 25 advanced graduate students.

Three of the students, Samuel J. Childs (Colorado State university), Mariana G. Cains (Indiana University), and Faith P. Groff (Colorado State university) wrote an article for BAMS titled "Integrating Social and Physical Sciences in a Graduate Student Workshop"

 

2019 colloquium group photo
Group photo of 2019 colloquium participants